ELIAS TSIAPAS THEORY




  INTRODUCTION   EARTHQUAKES & VOLCANOES   FORESHOCKS & AFTERSHOCKS   VOLCANOES

FORESEEING EARTHQUAKES   LONG TERM EARTHQUAKE FORECAST   NEUTRALIZING EARTHQUAEKES


FORESEEING EARTHQUAKES

    Á) The elements that cause earthquakes and volcanic eruptions move from west to east. From statistical studies, taking an earthquake as a starting point, we can find out:

      For Greece we take as starting point the earthquakes that take place in Western America, between 0° and 40° parallel. The course that the elements will take run underneath the American continent's and the Atlantic Ocean's crust, they converge at Gibraltar, they enter the Western Mediterranean Sea and they reach Greece, where they will cause new earthquakes of proportional magnitude, unless four days before the expected date, when these elements pass underneath Italy, they come out to the atmosphere through the volcanoes Etna, Stromboli, or other.The time required for their journey is approximately 53 days. Leaving Greece, they continue their way east.

Â) In order to determine the epicenter, , we take into consideration the most reliable preceding phenomenon, which is the rise of the crust's temperature which forms a reversed cone shape, its top being the hypocentre and the centre of its base being the epicentre of the expected earthquake. Using a network of thermometers, connected to the underground water table through drilling or via satellite, we can monitor the rise of temperature, which is detected a few days before the manifestation of an earthquake. This way, we know where a specific quantity of these elements whose escape to the east will cause an earthquake is trapped. Using the first method we know the time, the magnitude and the approximate epicentre; the second method helps us determine the epicentre more precisely. The combination of these two methods allows us to predict an earthquake accurately. It should be noted that this prediction ceases to be valid, if a volcanic eruption occurs in the area between the starting-point earthquake and where the new earthquake is expected. The frequency and magnitude of earthquakes worldwide are reduced, when there is intense volcanic activity, and vice versa.